Applied Sciences, Vol. 15, Pages 6466: Optimization of Rockburst Grade Prediction Model Based on Multidimensional Feature Selection: Integrated Learning and Index System Correlation Analysis

Applied Sciences doi: 10.3390/app15126466

Authors:
Jiayang Chen
Xuebin Xie

Rockburst is a major disaster in deep underground engineering, and its prediction is crucial for engineering safety. This study proposes an optimization method based on multidimensional feature selection and integrated learning that systematically evaluates the impact of different indicator dimensions by constructing an indicator–indicator system and an indicator–rockburst hierarchy using a combination of seven-, six-, five-, four-, and three-dimensional indicators in conjunction with six machine-learning models, such as XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost. The results show that tree models (e.g., CatBoost, LightGBM, etc.) are naturally resistant to multicollinearity, and PCA preprocessing destroys their nonlinear feature relationships, leading to performance degradation. CatBoost has the best performance and strong overfitting resistance; LightGBM is the second most efficient and suitable for real-time applications. The indicator–indicator system has better overall performance but less stability, and the indicator–rockburst system has slightly lower performance but a more stable downward trend. The six-dimensional system in both types of systems can balance the performance and complexity and is the optimal choice for engineering applications. This study provides theoretical support and practical reference for the selection of rockburst prediction and an evaluation index system.

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