Calculation of Distribution Network PV Hosting Capacity Considering Source–Load Uncertainty and Active Management


The DN with PV access receives or transmits power to the higher power grid through the transmission line; the main power generation source is PV, and the power consumption sources are load and network loss, as shown in Figure 2. Among these, PV and load have uncertainty [29,30]. Robust optimization ensures that, even in the worst scenario, the optimization solution is feasible [31]. Refs. [32,33] established an adaptive robust stochastic optimization model to address the renewable power uncertainty modeled as a scenario-based ambiguity set. We describe the uncertainty of PV and load by this method. Furthermore, considering the absolute nature of PVHC, any solution within the uncertainty set should yield a value greater than the resulting PVHC. Therefore, the key to solving this uncertainty problem lies in identifying the worst-case scenario for PVHC calculation. As in (1)–(3), we describe the source–load uncertainty through box uncertainty sets.

φ v , s = φ v , s + α v + , s Δ φ v + , s α v , s Δ φ v , s

P v , i , s = φ v , s S v , i , s

P d , i , s = P d , i , s + α d + , i , s Δ P d + , i , s α d , i , s Δ P d , i , s

where φ v , s , φ v , s , Δ φ v + , s , and Δ φ v , s are the actual, prediction, upward deviation, and downward deviation of PV power generation efficiency in scenario s; the box uncertainty set of φ v , s is [ φ v , s Δ φ v , s , φ v , s + Δ φ v + , s ]; P d , i , s , P d , i , s , Δ P d + , i , s , and Δ P d , i , s are the actual, prediction, upward deviation, and downward deviation of load in scenario s and bus i; the box uncertainty set of P d , i , s is [ P d , i , s Δ P d , i , s , P d , i , s + Δ P d + , i , s ]; α v + , s , α v , s , α d + , i , s , and α d , i , s are the source–load uncertainty deviation coefficients, which have values between 0 and 1; and P v , i , s , S v , i , s are the PV power generation and configured capacity in scenario s and bus i.



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Tingting Lin www.mdpi.com