Water, Vol. 18, Pages 68: A Flexible Python Module for Reservoir Simulations with Seasonally Varying and Constant Flood Storage Capacity

Water doi: 10.3390/w18010068

Authors:
Xiaodong Hao
Yali Hao
Xiaohui Sun
Li Tang

Storage-oriented reservoir schemes are effective for large-scale hydrological modeling, yet two important limitations remain. First, although some reservoirs seasonally adjust flood storage capacity (FSC), no global study has examined whether constant or seasonally varying FSC performs better. Second, these schemes rely on empirical operational-zone parameterization, but its impact on simulation accuracy has never been systematically assessed. This study presents an open-source Python module integrating three leading storage-oriented schemes (S25, Z17, H22) with both constant and seasonally varying FSC options. Evaluated using daily observations from 289 global reservoirs via Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), constant FSC significantly outperforms seasonal variation, increasing median outflow NSE by 0.18–0.47 and reducing storage error magnitude by 38–61%, and is selected as optimal for 84% of reservoirs. Sensitivity analysis across eight alternative zoning schemes shows that, under constant FSC, outflow remains stable, whereas seasonal FSC sharply increases sensitivity. Storage simulation is more sensitive overall, yet constant FSC consistently yields the smallest errors. This work provides the first global comparison of FSC strategies and the first systematic assessment of operational zone parameter uncertainty. It strongly recommends constant FSC with H22 or S25 as the default for large-scale modeling. The released module offers a flexible, reproducible platform for the community. Future extensions may incorporate demand-driven rules and hybrid calibration to further improve performance in data-rich regions.

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Xiaodong Hao www.mdpi.com